For nervous pollwatchers... a simple equation remains:
+ New Mexico
+ any other state
He is comfortably ahead in every Kerry state. Here are Pollster.com's charts for Iowa and New Mexico:
What about that one last state? Well, Obama is also ahead or tied in Ohio, Florida, Colorado, Nevada, Virginia, Indiana, Missouri, North Dakota, and North Carolina. McCain has to win ALL NINE of those. Obama has to win ONE.
As if that weren't enough, two additional Bush states seem to be in reach: Montana and Georgia.